Object

Title: Estimating a gradual parameter change in an AR(1)-process

Title in english:

Silesian Statistical Review

Creator:

Hušková, Marie ; Prášková, Zuzana ; Steinebach, Josef G.

Description:

Śląski Przegląd Statystyczny = Silesian Statistical Review, 2020, Nr 18 (24), s. 255-261

Abstrakt:

The authors discuss the estimation of a change-point 𝑡0 at which the parameter of a (non-stationary) AR(1)-process possibly changes in a gradual way. Making use of the observations 𝑋1, … , 𝑋𝑛 , we study the least squares estimator 𝑡̂0 for 𝑡0, which is obtained by minimizing the sum of squares of the residuals with respect to the given parameters. As the first result it can be shown that, under certain regularity and moment assumptions, 𝑡̂0/𝑛 is a consistent estimator for 𝜏0, where 𝑡0 = ⌊𝑛𝜏0⌋, with 0 < 𝜏0 < 1, i.e., 𝑡̂0/𝑛 →𝑃 𝜏0 (𝑛 → ∞). Based on the rates obtained in the proof of the consistency result, a rough convergence rate statement can also be given. Some possible further investigations are briefly discussed, including the weak limiting behaviour of the (suitably normalized) estimator.

Publisher:

Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu

Place of publication:

Wrocław

Date:

2020

Resource Type:

artykuł

Resource Identifier:

doi:10.15611/sps.2020.18.16 ; oai:dbc.wroc.pl:109574

Language:

eng

Relation:

Śląski Przegląd Statystyczny = Silesian Statistical Review, 2020, Nr 18 (24)

Rights:

Pewne prawa zastrzeżone na rzecz Autorów i Wydawcy

Access Rights:

Dla wszystkich zgodnie z licencją

License:

CC BY-SA 4.0

Location:

Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny we Wrocławiu

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